Volume 2, Issue 4, January 25 2012
January 30, 2012 Key Concepts of the Sextant Market Letter.
Summary
There is no evidence of a psychological bottom to date.
Despite what some have called constructive behaviour out of the December-29 low, the rate of ascent of the rally has been far too slow to be meaningful.
As I type this morning, the top 20 are up over 1% while small cap stocks are up less than 0.2%.
Volatility, a calling card of tops, is picking up.
Sector leadership is bearish with the inflationary issues of Materials and energy doing all the heavy lifting.
There is an interpretation of wave structure that argues the current rally has reached its expiration date and that a decline to 3800 at a minimum must follow in the next 1 to 3 months.
This dip should prove a buying opportunity with the market to return to 4500/4600 in the first half of this year.
Beware this rally will be of the countertrend variety.


